the night, the last two states that are battlegrounds that close their polls are iowa and nevada. those are both states that president obama has a slight edge and, obviously, his campaign will be wanting to so that edge reflected in the results. if it's not, that could, again, be problematic for him. >> niles stanich, i know you look forward to those nights. a lot of us are ready for the election to be over and this is like the super bowl for you. >> this is what it's about. >> enjoy. we'll talk to you soon. >> thanks. >> we'll be right back. ght bac . >>> stay with fox 5 for your election results tonight. it's going to be a busy night. we'll have coverage and live reports and analysis throughout the evening. we want you to weigh in on everything from the presidential race to the highly contested senate contest in virginia and the controversial ballot measures in maryland. use the hash tag decision 2012 to tweet us your thoughts and we'll be streaming live on your mobile device and we'll have the latest election results. make sure you download the fox five news app. it's on itun

projected to win there. >> we have nevada, the polls are closed but it is too early to call. and in utah, nbc news is projecting a win for governor romney. >> in the meantime welcome back to your money your vote. obama takes the first battleground state of wisconsin and new hampshire, giving him an electoral edge. north carolina, ohio, virginia, florida, colorado all remain too close to call amid very high voter turnout. the house republicans are projected to retain control as well. i want to go live to las vegas. >> the six electoral votes are in play. they will not start reports results until the last person in line in each county at 7:00 p.m. gets a chance to vote. it may be about a half hour before we start getting results. both parties are partying on the strip tonight. the republicans are lit up with red white and blue. over 20 million dollars. he may be in boston tonight with the romneys. democrats are meeting at mandolay bay. they are showing election results on the screens on the strip. a handful of people are stopping to watch what is going on. four years ago it voted for

there yet. he would have to then at the end get to -- he would have to win nevada iowa which are states the obama folks think are already in their column they're very confident about them. so it's a tough path for them in governor romney loses ohio. >> what are you looking for in share of the electorate? >> the share of the white vote and minority vote. president obama got 43% of the white vote. that's a shrinking part of the electorate shrinking since 1992. or is this a new electorate? in 2008 president obama created a new coalition and the electorate is moving in the president's way. if governor romney does well tonight, the electorate will look more like it did in 2000 and 2004 than it did in 2008. >> i think 20% of the electorate in 2008 was a minority vote and obama won that, 80% of that vote. they're predicting that could go higher in terms of that part of the electorate. but then in you look at states like ohio and wisconsin, obama would win there because of actually the white vote because there's a lot of white votes in those states. >> it would be an irony, if he wins in

president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matt

romney i'd be shocked. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the spirit of money. i want people start making money and get rich again. that's why i'm wearing this. >> bob: one thing, colorado, other states voting on the legalization of marijuana today. draw the youth vote. >> greg: did they get off the couch? >> dana: can you offer the munchies at the polling booth? >> eric: >> bob: sure! >> eric: throw this out. we will know, we may know the fate of the next president. ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, florida. when you know those, it is pretty, pretty locked in when we know those four. >> dana: here we go. when we come back, we'll check in with campaign carl cameron spending the day at

, nevada and colorado. >> the democrats have always believed that you have to enlarge the electorate. you have to reach out to women. you have to reach out to minorities. but more importantly, i wanted to bring this in. in 1992 in the bill clinton campaign, the white electorate, 87%, by 2000 for al gore, 81%. today, in the 2008 campaign, 74% of the electorate and today, 72%. so it's declining, the minority population is increasing. >> okay, i want to go now and give you a projection. it is north carolina coming in for governor romney. again, we had seen him a bit ahead there and there it is, it is a switch, of course, president obama won it narrowly back in 2008 but now it goes to governor romney. >> this was not a state that president obama was counting on but certainly one they were hoping for because they had invested so much time. >> convention. >> in that ground game in north carolina, also having the convention at charlotte but it was not to be. governor romney holding on to that state tonight and look at that solid wall of red right across the south, george will. >> well, it's

won. by the way, three states now declared, but if you go all the way west, colorado and nevada, that is how they did it. neil: it's interesting. on the health care, that doesn't change. it with a more emboldened, democratic senate everything stays. so in all the surveys, people like the health care. all of the jawboning about it now was standing in surprises to come next year in the year after , they liked it. >> and it is unbelievable. you just look at the key battleground states. north carolina, the only romney surprise. we were just talking about the green room. they did not target well enough. so it is a big night. neil: indeed. now what happens, the energy front, although the issues are beginning to run up on the prospect of the possibility of a round victory, that is not the case. what now? >> well, i think we will see a repeat in the next three or four years of well we saw the first three years of the obama administration. the nation's energy future will basically go into hibernation because the regulation, the epa in particular will attack hydraulic fracturing which has

the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be decided. one of them has to be the state of ohio. the president has events in ohio four out of five days on the trail. he stopped in iowa, wisconsin, and colorado two times, each will be in florida and virginia, new hampshire, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a st

key swing states, iowa and nevada remain too early to call. north carolina, ohio, virginia, florida, colorado, too close to call. the senate, mostly breaking as expe expected, but the democrats did pick up three new seats. republicans projected to hold the house as well. >> all right. let's get straight to john harwood at the maproom to give us more color on what we're seeing as the most recent poll closings. over to you, john. >> we're almost completely closing the map of coloring in the map of all the states we knew in advance where they were going to faull. the only state where polls have not closed yet is the state of alaska. we're very confident mitt romney is going to win that based on polls before the election. so we're really waiting for those seven battleground states that haven't been filled in yet. again, to reiterate, as we've talked about before, if president obama wins the state of florida this race is over. he's going to be re-elected for a second term. but if mitt romney wins it, he's got to also win north carolina, he's got to win virginia, where it's very close, an

nevada even tremendous pre in our -- entrepreneur is about to add more stops to your express. the train will start at amtrak train station in fullerton in southern california and would end up in downtown las vegas. the ceo of the venture has struck an agreement with union pacific to run the train on its lines. the hope is the first train will hit the tracks on new year's eve 2013. tickets for the adults only train would cost $99 each way. >>> medically clear, but not starting. the quarterback controversy continues. alex smith has been cleared after concussion testing. according to a team source, the plan is to start colin kaepernick on sunday against the new orleans saints. earlier this week, there were reports that head coach jim harbaugh that kaepernick would get the nod on sunday. yesterday, the team insisted that no such decision had been made. they would make the call if and when smith was cleared by a doctor. we shall see. >>> a pair of bay area teens will get invites to a bowl game this season. san jose state is on track for the first bowl appearance since 2006. they could

: what about early voting in nevada? >> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just lis

wisconsin. we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the end. >> what's it going to mean f

in the demographics of some key states, particularly nevada and colorado and to some extent, virginia. not long ago, these were some of the rest of the red states, and we have watched through the election cycles of our population in these and other states shifting and changing and we see a number of significant changes in voting patterns. in 2008, president obama was swept into office with 97% of african-american votes and 43% of the white vote. today, we look forward to hearing from the senior research associate on his analysis on how these numbers faired in the 2012 elections and what it meant to the outcome we all watched last night and into the early morning hours. with that, let me call on the doctor for his analysis and remarks. that will be followed by questions from you. thank you very much. [applause] >> good afternoon. good afternoon. the 2012 elections are over and the elections were historic. there is one particular aspect of the elections that was historic that i would like to talk about first. it is not simply the reelection of the first african-american presid

nevada, we too close to call. for all of iowa's six electoral votes, they campaign my crazy nonstate. lou: this is a tough battle. it is always nice for these challengers against the incumbents. a tough uphill work in the best of times. they are running against very clever political operation in the obama campaign. neil: utah such a mormon stronghold. the romney has very strong ties in that state. his family has strong ties. no surprise that utah kids that way. orrin hatch was one who did resist a tea tea party insurgent. this would be his seventh term. lou: such a remarkably able u.s. senator. neil: he moved a lot of positions, he moved gingerly to the right, he cornered his tea party opponent and the winner of the republican primary. that is a seat that stays in republican hands. it could mean that republicans and in worse shape than what we think. lou: given what we have seen, i am not surprised -- in missouri and indiana, this is a campaign organization. let's be straight forward. the strategy was sometimes incomprehensible. it amounted to less than the two plan to take over the

ryan's home state, ohio, the state we have just been talking about and also nevada, big harry reid's home state, the senate leader, big union vote, big hispanic vote there. if he gets those three things, barack obama gets to 271 electoral votes and wins, tyler. >> but not any three of those nine states? >> specifically those three. >> specifically those three. say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has got to get a lot more than that. >> john harwood, thank you very much. as john outlined it is very difficult for either candidate, frankly, to get to that magic 270 number without the state of ohio and here's video evidence from cleveland as to how important it is. b

levels in sierra nevada. dropping down to 3000 feet. this is unusual to be this warm fast. forecast highs, you see 70s, 73 in fairfield and 73 in walnut creek. >>> in the past 20 minutes, polls closed in two swing states, florida and new hampshire. more election results are coming into the ktvu newsroom, we will have the latest. >> the polls have closed in ohio, probably the most closely watched, no republican has ever won the presidency without taking ohio. here are the current numbers with one percent of the precincts reporting. president obama up 58 to 42% over mitt romney. >> now in the midst of the evening commute and people heading to the polls after work. let's go to john sacka. you are watching the activity at a precinct, right? >> reporter: yes, the traffic here has definitely picked up in the last hour as people have gotten off of work and come down to vote. you can see everybody around here. we are at the salvation army in clayton. there are three different voting precincts in operation. people have been coming here all day since 7:00 this morning. i was told that when th

iowa and nevada, democrats have it locked up with early vote. in ohio they have a good position with early vote, but it depends on who turns out. republicans are coming out in big numbers in the rural areas, and the question i think for democrats is, how do we do in those urban areas, it particular the top ten counties? the thing i would like to stress is, you know, when you have an election that is this close and it's pretty obvious to say that the obvious, but it is going to be turnout, and democrats have got to be really focused and that is individual democrats coming out to vote. do not believe that this thing is over by any stretch of the imagination. this is going to be a very tight election. >> who doesn't believe that at this point, chris? >> you know, i sometimes hear when i see these pundits talk about their forecasts about what the election is going to be, i get it. if you look at the real clear politics averages, you can make that prediction. i'll make that prediction and think president obama will win. when you have so many polls clustered around the margin of error, it

president is doing well in iowa an nevada with the early vote which tells us a little bit how this thing is starting to break. >> we close this evening with this question what is the impact of the digital revolution on books, writers and publishing. joining me ken auletta, tim o reilly, jonathan safran foer an jane frieman. >> i like the idea of ebooks how they can democratize books. ma what i am afraid of is on platforms that have distracks an are inherently fast makes it harder to make books books. >> it is so important to have historical perspective. you know what we consider the book today is a relatively recent historical phenomenon. i totally disagree that homer would recognize the book. you know actually we probably more recognize the ebook. >> rose: hurricane sandy, politics and publishing when we continue. >> funding for charlie rose was provided by the following: captioning sponsored by rose communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. >> this has been a difficult week for the city of new york four days after hurricane sandy made landfall life h

ridiculous. >> cenk: and then the wildcard no one is talking about. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some nois

talk about technology, too. when you talk about -- i went to nevada, i went to colorado, to see the get out the vote effort, the obama team, and it was in social media, even in the last hours of this election, there were californians on the phones, getting e-mails from the campaign, making phone calls with touch screen, i mean, this is beyond what anyone had ever seen and the republicans were just washed out when -- >> in 2008, the turnout was not an anomaly. they got the turnout again. they were able to get everybody out. >> belva: jill, you were with the old guy that got a few mir kms, too. what was the passage of proposition 30 mean to educators and children? >> well, in california, that sound you heard was the collective sigh of relief of 400,000 teachers on election night, that they are not going to have these trigger cuts. and jerry brown pushed that through. it did not look good prior to election day, but i will say, in california, the unions, like in some other states, made a big difference for the democrats and -- >> the youth vote made a huge differences. >> the parents we

wisconsin, nevada and boulder, colorado. tomorrow the president will be in manassas and will get a boost from former president bill clinton. >>> mitt romney is launching his four day sprint to finish the tour. today romney starts in wisconsin and heads to ohio for a couple of campaign rallies. both campaigns are waiting for today's big job report too. the monthly unemployment numbers come out later on this morning. economists are forecasting more than 1 hundred thousand jobs were added to the economy but they expect the rate to rise from september to october. >>> still ahead, as the number of meningitis cases continues to grow, a new discovery made in connection to the pharmacy that caused the outbreak. >>> and personal items of amy wine house come up missing from the house where she passed away.  >>> a fire in kentucky caused by a derailed tapger car is spilling fuel and smoke for a second day now. the chemical is commonly used in rubber. it can damage the central nervous system and reproductive system. >>> meningitis continues to grow spreading to

. we'll start out west, nevada and colorado. gorgeous sunshine. 70s, low 80s in las vegas. fantastic in colorado. sunshine, temperatures in the 60s. 65 with sunshine in denver. that's really pretty nice. we'll move up to wisconsin and iowa. a little different story here. not a huge storm. these folks are pretty hardy. a little bit of light rain and or snow mixed in wisconsin. maybe 40 milwaukee. i think des moines will stay dry. i think we'll have sunshine in western iowa. that's pretty good. ohio fantastic. chilly but sunshine. 40s across the board except for cincinnati. sunshine and 53. now we'll go up into new hampshire. this is a golfing day for these folks. this is very nice. sunshine in berlin, 35. mid-40s in southern new hampshire. pretty nice day. even virginia and north carolina were okay. we'll be dry in virginia. dry in the most part in north carolina. 48 in leesburg. low 50s in richmond. rain could inch into western north carolina and charlotte before some of the polls end of the for the most part a dry, dry day. florida it's what you might expect. 60s and 70s and 80s. dry i

sweep all nine of the major battlegrounds from ohio to iowa, colorado, nevada. a bold prediction. he may reach 300 electoral votes. that's bold prediction for final hours. they believe he will win it. >> election ed, thank you for being here on "the five." greg, to you first. the crowd situation. i was watching romney today. people waiting in line. last night, people were complaining they got frostbit frostbite. mitt romney gathering crowds with himself. when you are president obama you bring out jay-z and springstein. >> greg: saying i'm a lousy president but i'm cooler than the other guy. look at the brainless celebrities i'm talking to. the other guy talks policy. point out a maxim. never trust a man over 50 who still has an earring. people that he surrounds himself, they dress like aging pirates. you are an adult. thigh think they are outlaws. >> dana: it's like watching a male enhancement pill ad. if i looked at anyone else, i might get embarrassed. jay-z, the lyrics, talk about the war on recommend. i'm not going to be specificbe, i am letting people rhyme. britches and clothes

pennsylvania. leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt romney with needs to win 54 to 60% of the remaining votes in the states in order to drop into the victory. that's a huge lift. i think when you couple the fact that democratic base is much more fired up with the fact that obama for america has been organizing for the last four years. they keep talking about pennsylvania, you can't drop into pennsylvania the weekend before an election, and expect to tip the vote just by buying ads when you have the other team with a fantastic ground operation. >> drive by campaigning won't do it. when you look at pennsylvania, bob, romney and ryan are both visiti

, turnout is crucial. >> turnout has been crucial for three weeks. in other words, in colorado, nevada, north carolina, it may have been crucial before today, but on election day, as nancy mentioned in her piece, republicans have to turn their base out. >> stay with us, we'll be speaking with both campaigns this morning. we begin with david axelrod. david, good morning. >> good morning, charlie. happy election day. >> well, thank you. happy election day to you and everybody else in the great state of illinois. so tell me what it is that's most crucial today for you to win. >> well, you've been using the word, which is turnout. we've been expecting a close election for a year and a half. we've built a tremendous organization. we've got 200,000 or more election shifts volunteers set up. we've got 5,000 stations in neighborhoods across the battleground states. and now it's time to turn out that vote. and that's what this election is going to be about. we are happy about those early vote numbers. those early vote numbers are very significant. we go in with a great advantage. >> one thing t

voting in nevada or in colorado. wisconsin may see a cold rain or some wet snow there. wausau at 38, dubuque could see some showers. ohio looks good, new hampshire looks good, just cold. virginia, north carolina all right, although southern and western north carolina a couple of showers. and in florida, jacksonville and orlando some showers and storms. the rest of the state looks pretty good west and south. 49 today, chilly. tonight we'll be down in the 30s. tomorrow mid-40s. a couple of rain or snow showers, eastern shore, upper eastern shore, you may get some minor accumulation. by thursday, sun returns, 53. 58 on friday, and near 70. sunday. ravens have a home game, should be great for that. 4:46, here's monica with time saver traffic. >>reporter: been looking at a serious accident in manassas. balls ford road completely shut down at the prince william parkway. that's just south of i-66. it's a truck involved and a diesel fuel spill, so that intersection and prince william parkway completely shut down. inbound 66 is not affected by this. but if you're one of those that takes 66 -

states wisconsin, colorado and nevada where he had this barb for mitt romney's policies. >> obama: with a straight face, he's offering them up as change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. now, let me tell you nevada, we know what change looks like. [ cheering ] >> obama: and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> >> jennifer: chump change. governor romney for his part worked some jabs into his speech at one of his three stops in virginia today. >> romney: he's going to create the department of business. [ laughter ] >> romney: i don't think adding a new chair in his cabinet will help add millions of jobs on main street. >> jennifer: if the rnc was any indication, mitt romney knows a lot about useless chairs. with five days before the election, this is no time to play nice. to dissect today's news, we've got a panel that covers every aspect of a war room. strategist karen skelton who worked in the clinton white house. she runs her own phil, skelton strategies. we have joe gar foley who is following the race for the "san francisco chronicle" and pollster from lake res

-46. colorado, they have romney up by 3. 50-47. but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned

states obama need to win this election is nevada with it's six electoral votes. the polls close at 10:00 eastern time. jane has an update. >> reporter: actually i'm outside caesar's palace where they are filming "hangover 3". more than three quarters of the registered voters in nevada have already voted. most in early voting record. most are registered democrats. none louder than this man. >> i can't stand the idea of being put down by a president who doesn't understand by how the economy works? >> he does encourage workers to support policies that promote a friendly business and living environment and nevada is all about the jobs right now. the unemployment rate is 11.5% down from last year and the strip is coming back slowly and the state is finally attracting new business like spreadshirt out of boston. 20% of its business was in california. it has moved in next store. >> there was plepty of open space for us to choose from and a great labor pool. we have great employees that are anxious to work for us. we are grows at 100% and we hope to have 200 people here by next year. >> while th